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ANDRÉ CRAMER

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selfdrivingcars

Where accelerating technological Development will lead us in the next 15-20 years (André Cramer)

I would like to share some of my thoughts on key developments that I believe will determine our lives in the upcoming two decades. Almost all of this is fueled by ever more accelerating technological progress and there are a lot of opportunities in it. As well as significant challenges.

Looking back at the perceived principle of the industrial age, where growth occurred or seemed to occur in a linear function, today we know about Moore’s Law. We have been able to observe it for the last 50 years where over time it became clearer that we have a doubling of computing power roughly every 1,5 years.

Now how does that apply in our everyday life? Where do we actually see that technologies get more and more “disruptive”? To show that this is not about buzzwords, here are a couple of examples for “wow” type of developments: Continue reading “Where accelerating technological Development will lead us in the next 15-20 years (André Cramer)”

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The Future of Driving Is Now a Gold Rush (Mark Harris)

Blink and you might miss the moment automated vehicles go mainstream. At some point in 2017, a fully autonomous Tesla will blast across the country en route from Los Angeles to New York. The person sitting in the front left seat — let’s no longer call her the driver — will be free to watch a movie, drink a latte, or wave to locals as she zips past. If Elon Musk has his way, the tech will then roll out to drivers in 2018…

Source: The Future of Driving Is Now a Gold Rush

Often underestimated: Driverless Cars Need Just One Thing – Futuristic Roads (Brent Skorup)

Driverless cars have moved with remarkable speed from DARPA-funded fantasy to picking up passengers on the streets of Pittsburgh. The excitement is justified, in part, because there’s much to gain. A single, shared autonomous vehicle could replace roughly 11 privately-owned vehicles, according to a recent University of Texas study. By reducing the number of cars on the road, self-driving vehicles could cut traffic, emissions, and urban sprawl, while improving safety and saving money for the millions of households that would no longer have to own a vehicle.

Yet we’re still a long way from adopting a futuristic fleet of driverless vehicles, and the main obstacle is navigation. Manufacturers teach their cars to move by employing fleets of drivers who travel the streets in ordinary cars, scanning for changes in previously mapped roads…

Source: Driverless Cars Need Just One Thing: Futuristic Roads

What NASA Could Teach Tesla about Autopilot’s Limits (John Pavlus)

Tesla Motors says the Autopilot system for its Model S sedan “relieves drivers of the most tedious and potentially dangerous aspects of road travel.” The second part of that promise was put in doubt by the fatal crash of a Model S earlier this year, when its Autopilot system failed to recognize a tractor-trailer turning in front of the vehicle. Tesla says the driver, Joshua Brown, also failed to notice the trailer in time to prevent a collision. The result? In Tesla’s own words, “the brake was not applied”—and the car plowed under the trailer at full speed, killing Brown…

Source: What NASA Could Teach Tesla about Autopilot’s Limits – Scientific American

A great Longread: The Third Transportation Revolution – Lyft’s Vision for the Next Ten Years and Beyond (John Zimmer)

I remember when I first fell in love with cars. It started small with Hot Wheels when I was three and Micromachines when I was six. Everything about them was fast and exciting — even the commercials were narrated by the World’s Fastest Talker. I loved them.

Then, when I turned 12, my dad and I began taking annual trips to see the real thing at the New York International Auto Show. I looked forward to going every year, because even at that young age, I felt a connection to cars and the freedom they represented…

Source: The Third Transportation Revolution – Medium

On the Future of the Automotive Industry: tough Times ahead for the Incumbent Automakers (André Cramer)

Looking at the wave of disruption that is already happening right now or coming to industries that have not natively been part of the digital business, the automotive industry is surely one of the most interesting. Their products are what moves the world and what captures many people’s passion and materialistic desires. Even with the core use case being a physical one, transportation of people and/or goods, this industry will be disrupted, just like any other industry and way of doing business has been or will be disrupted by exponentially advancing digital technology (e.g. traditional retail, the media/newspaper industry, the music industry, books publishers and stores, travel agents, even the telco/communications players, etc.).

We are now in an era in which technologies such as computing, networks, sensors, artificial intelligence and robotics, to name a few, are advancing exponentially. Continue reading “On the Future of the Automotive Industry: tough Times ahead for the Incumbent Automakers (André Cramer)”

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